7月 16日 2021年 経済
無観客五輪とワクチン失速。菅義偉首相の再選シナリオは狂った。オリンピックさえ始まれば、国民の気分は一変する。オリパラが終わる頃、ワクチン接種は一巡し、感染への不安は薄らぐ。五輪の高揚感と、コロナ危機の沈静化。そのタイミングで解散に打って出れば勝機はある。自公安定政権を守れば自民党総裁選を突破できる――。
都合のいい楽観論だが、これ以外に政権延命の道はない。政治家人生を賭けた大博打に出た、というのが現状である。
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